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Red110
132547.7
430837.4
201312.1
Blue84
1016721.5
567221.4
238630.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615620408010011084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+50Teleop
+50Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave6
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points3
27Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +32
16Coral scored#6
59Coral points23
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
77Total teleop45
Reef
7L4#2
5L3#3
6L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points24
110Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.73.5
18.822.3
Auto12.6
Teleop32.0
End3.2
red by 16.9
2386
#22
30.80.5
19.419.9
Auto9.2
Teleop19.7
End1.9
Second
37.43.5
27.130.6
Auto8.5
Teleop26.8
End2.1
red by 16.0
21.50.5
18.218.7
Auto4.7
Teleop15.9
End0.9
Third
2013
#31
12.13.5
11.815.3
Auto2.2
Teleop7.8
End2.1
blue by 9.3
5672
#15
21.40.5
15.215.7
Auto4.0
Teleop12.5
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed