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Red95
91920.8
956218.3
540663.9
Blue100
356018.0
697838.0
1055441.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions898505010015020095100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+11
+1Endgame
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
4Coral scored#3
19Coral points13
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +14
12Coral scored#15
42Coral points54
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
62Total teleop76
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#6
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#23
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points6
95Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.91.0
47.048.0
Auto13.1
Teleop41.1
End9.7
red by 22.9
41.01.1
27.128.3
Auto7.5
Teleop31.8
End1.7
Second
919
#12
20.81.0
15.516.5
Auto3.9
Teleop14.5
End2.4
blue by 17.2
6978
#13
38.01.1
31.232.3
Auto3.4
Teleop33.4
End1.3
Third
9562
#26
18.31.0
18.019.0
Auto5.7
Teleop10.4
End2.3
red by 0.3
3560
#28
18.01.1
18.819.9
Auto3.7
Teleop13.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsMissed