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Red69
747532.0
765930.9
705817.3
Blue73
760319.2
1021824.1
133427.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7763020401001201406973

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+10
+2Endgame
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave6
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
12Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +7
9Coral scored#8
33Coral points30
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#1
6Processor points12
0Net points4
6Algae points16
39Total teleop46
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#13
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
4Foul points10
69Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7475
#27
32.00.1
31.030.9
Auto2.5
Teleop26.4
End3.0
red by 4.1
1334
#20
27.90.1
21.321.4
Auto5.9
Teleop20.6
End1.4
Second
7659
#10
30.90.1
15.715.7
Auto4.2
Teleop19.0
End7.7
red by 6.8
24.10.1
22.822.9
Auto4.5
Teleop17.3
End2.3
Third
7058
#14
17.30.1
19.219.2
Auto8.0
Teleop7.2
End2.1
blue by 1.9
7603
#17
19.20.1
11.411.5
Auto4.7
Teleop13.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed