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Red160
686532.1
111475.2
128538.9
Blue151
316149.4
697517.0
18848.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141113100150200160151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+27Teleop
+15Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave3
4Coral scored#7
21Coral points37
30Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +37
29Coral scored#14
106Coral points49
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
6Processor points18
16Net points24
22Algae points42
128Total teleop91
Reef
10L4#10
12L3#5
7L2#2
4L1 · trough#4
38Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points6
160Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.22.4
66.869.2
Auto21.3
Teleop50.2
End3.7
red by 25.8
49.42.6
41.844.4
Auto12.2
Teleop30.8
End6.4
Second
38.92.4
25.527.9
Auto7.9
Teleop29.2
End1.7
blue by 9.3
188
#19
48.12.6
43.746.3
Auto14.2
Teleop29.3
End4.6
Third
6865
#23
32.12.4
31.634.0
Auto6.0
Teleop23.0
End3.1
red by 15.1
6975
#29
17.02.6
20.122.7
Auto3.8
Teleop11.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsMissed71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsEarned