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Red222
132547.7
133427.9
2056112.3
Blue149
747532.0
111475.2
356018.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18311650100150200250300222149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+71Teleop
+81Endgame
+73Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
6Coral scored#5
31Coral points27
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +64
34Coral scored#20
121Coral points73
2Processor algae#2
9Net algae#5
12Processor points12
36Net points20
48Algae points32
169Total teleop105
Reef
18L4#10
10L3#5
7L2#6
5L1 · trough#4
51Game pieces#32
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +73
0Foul points8
222Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.33.1
104.8108.0
Auto26.8
Teleop78.6
End6.8
red by 37.1
75.20.9
68.269.2
Auto21.3
Teleop50.2
End3.7
Second
47.73.1
39.042.1
Auto12.6
Teleop32.0
End3.2
red by 15.7
7475
#27
32.00.9
29.230.1
Auto2.5
Teleop26.4
End3.0
Third
1334
#20
27.93.1
19.923.0
Auto5.9
Teleop20.6
End1.4
red by 9.9
3560
#28
18.00.9
18.419.3
Auto3.7
Teleop13.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
68%Coral oddsEarned34%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed