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Red76
956218.3
1021824.1
765930.9
Blue103
91920.8
18848.1
702219.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6410405015076103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+41
Endgame+27
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +15
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points27
12Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +26
8Coral scored#16
30Coral points56
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
48Total teleop74
Reef
3L4#5
4L3#5
1L2#7
1L1 · trough#4
13Game pieces#25
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points0
76Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7659
#10
30.90.1
23.623.7
Auto4.2
Teleop19.0
End7.7
blue by 17.2
188
#19
48.10.3
44.745.0
Auto14.2
Teleop29.3
End4.6
Second
24.10.1
23.023.1
Auto4.5
Teleop17.3
End2.3
red by 3.3
919
#12
20.80.3
20.520.8
Auto3.9
Teleop14.5
End2.4
Third
9562
#26
18.30.1
16.116.2
Auto5.7
Teleop10.4
End2.3
blue by 0.6
7022
#25
19.00.3
23.223.5
Auto3.3
Teleop14.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed