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Red173
1016721.5
316149.4
2056112.3
Blue119
132547.7
747532.0
567221.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20281050100150250300173119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+56Teleop
+54Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave3
9Coral scored#4
44Coral points20
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +35
23Coral scored#17
81Coral points62
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
18Processor points6
16Net points12
34Algae points18
115Total teleop80
Reef
13L4#9
7L3#6
8L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
39Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
0Foul points0
173Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.30.0
108.0107.9
Auto26.8
Teleop78.6
End6.8
red by 64.6
47.72.0
42.144.1
Auto12.6
Teleop32.0
End3.2
Second
49.40.0
45.245.2
Auto12.2
Teleop30.8
End6.4
red by 17.5
7475
#27
32.02.0
30.132.1
Auto2.5
Teleop26.4
End3.0
Third
21.50.0
20.120.1
Auto4.7
Teleop15.9
End0.9
red by 0.1
5672
#15
21.42.0
17.019.0
Auto4.0
Teleop12.5
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
76%Coral oddsEarned12%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsEarned