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Red71
697838.0
1053523.4
956218.3
Blue91
111475.2
1016721.5
762316.9
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84129501001502007191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+28
Endgame+26
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave3
2Coral scored#4
12Coral points20
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +17
11Coral scored#13
41Coral points48
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
51Total teleop68
Reef
4L4#7
5L3#3
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
2Cage & park0
2Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
6Foul points0
71Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6978
#13
38.00.9
38.637.7
Auto3.4
Teleop33.4
End1.3
blue by 37.1
75.21.2
69.267.9
Auto21.3
Teleop50.2
End3.7
Second
23.40.9
23.522.6
Auto5.5
Teleop15.7
End2.1
red by 1.9
21.51.2
20.118.9
Auto4.7
Teleop15.9
End0.9
Third
9562
#26
18.30.9
16.215.3
Auto5.7
Teleop10.4
End2.3
red by 1.4
7623
#18
16.91.2
20.018.8
Auto3.9
Teleop10.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed80%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed