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Red114
705817.3
1055441.0
132547.7
Blue79
747532.0
1021824.1
702219.0
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11484406010014016018020011479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+37Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave6
7Coral scored#1
34Coral points3
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +9
14Coral scored#12
49Coral points42
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
73Total teleop64
Reef
6L4#6
7L3#3
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
114Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.70.8
44.144.9
Auto12.6
Teleop32.0
End3.2
red by 15.7
7475
#27
32.00.2
32.131.9
Auto2.5
Teleop26.4
End3.0
Second
41.00.8
35.936.7
Auto7.5
Teleop31.8
End1.7
red by 16.9
24.10.2
23.122.9
Auto4.5
Teleop17.3
End2.3
Third
7058
#14
17.30.8
19.720.4
Auto8.0
Teleop7.2
End2.1
blue by 1.7
7022
#25
19.00.2
23.523.3
Auto3.3
Teleop14.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
29%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed