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Red78
611033.6
567221.4
91920.8
Blue60
697517.0
201312.1
128538.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77662040601001207860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+2Teleop
+12Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +1
9Coral scored#9
32Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
46Total teleop47
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#14
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
6Foul points0
78Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6110
#21
33.60.0
31.731.7
Auto5.8
Teleop25.6
End2.3
blue by 5.2
38.90.2
34.634.3
Auto7.9
Teleop29.2
End1.7
Second
5672
#15
21.40.0
19.019.0
Auto4.0
Teleop12.5
End4.9
red by 4.4
6975
#29
17.00.2
16.416.1
Auto3.8
Teleop11.4
End1.7
Third
919
#12
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto3.9
Teleop14.5
End2.4
red by 8.7
2013
#31
12.10.2
12.712.5
Auto2.2
Teleop7.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
25%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed