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Red211
111475.2
540663.9
760319.2
Blue187
765930.9
124164.3
316149.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15514080100120180200220211187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+24Teleop
+24Endgame
+24Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
8Coral scored#7
38Coral points35
44Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +24
28Coral scored#28
99Coral points99
3Processor algae#3
8Net algae#2
18Processor points18
32Net points8
50Algae points26
149Total teleop125
Reef
14L4#15
12L3#9
4L2#5
6L1 · trough#6
47Game pieces#40
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
2Foul points2
211Total score187

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.23.5
67.971.5
Auto21.3
Teleop50.2
End3.7
red by 10.8
64.32.7
59.762.4
Auto17.3
Teleop44.9
End2.2
Second
63.93.5
55.959.4
Auto13.1
Teleop41.1
End9.7
red by 14.5
49.42.7
45.247.9
Auto12.2
Teleop30.8
End6.4
Third
7603
#17
19.23.5
14.918.4
Auto4.7
Teleop13.7
End0.9
blue by 11.7
7659
#10
30.92.7
23.726.3
Auto4.2
Teleop19.0
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
59%Coral oddsEarned15%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsEarned