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Red95
356018.0
1053523.4
132547.7
Blue88
238630.8
697838.0
697517.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions989370801101201301409588

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+3Teleop
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave6
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points13
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +8
13Coral scored#11
45Coral points39
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
59Total teleop67
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#4
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#20
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
95Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.70.6
44.945.5
Auto12.6
Teleop32.0
End3.2
red by 9.6
6978
#13
38.00.3
37.738.0
Auto3.4
Teleop33.4
End1.3
Second
23.40.6
22.623.2
Auto5.5
Teleop15.7
End2.1
blue by 7.4
2386
#22
30.80.3
29.029.3
Auto9.2
Teleop19.7
End1.9
Third
3560
#28
18.00.6
18.819.4
Auto3.7
Teleop13.0
End1.3
red by 1.0
6975
#29
17.00.3
16.116.5
Auto3.8
Teleop11.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed