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Red117
697838.0
760319.2
765930.9
Blue44
705817.3
686532.1
702219.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9989608012014011744

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+49Teleop
+61Endgame
+73Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +52
12Coral scored#6
44Coral points20
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
18Processor points6
20Net points4
38Algae points10
82Total teleop30
Reef
4L4#2
4L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#10
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +73
12Foul points0
117Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6978
#13
38.00.6
36.537.1
Auto3.4
Teleop33.4
End1.3
red by 5.9
6865
#23
32.12.8
34.031.1
Auto6.0
Teleop23.0
End3.1
Second
7659
#10
30.90.6
28.829.4
Auto4.2
Teleop19.0
End7.7
red by 11.9
7022
#25
19.02.8
21.819.0
Auto3.3
Teleop14.4
End1.3
Third
7603
#17
19.20.6
18.919.5
Auto4.7
Teleop13.7
End0.9
red by 1.9
7058
#14
17.32.8
20.117.3
Auto8.0
Teleop7.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsMissed