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Red77
1021824.1
356018.0
238630.8
Blue108
128538.9
1053523.4
567221.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions858580909510010577108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+23
Endgame+33
Fouls+31
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points16
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +23
10Coral scored#15
37Coral points54
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
0Processor points6
12Net points12
12Algae points18
49Total teleop72
Reef
4L4#7
4L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
8Foul points6
77Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2386
#22
30.81.0
30.829.8
Auto9.2
Teleop19.7
End1.9
blue by 8.1
38.91.2
35.837.0
Auto7.9
Teleop29.2
End1.7
Second
24.11.0
25.124.1
Auto4.5
Teleop17.3
End2.3
red by 0.7
23.41.2
22.223.4
Auto5.5
Teleop15.7
End2.1
Third
3560
#28
18.01.0
19.018.0
Auto3.7
Teleop13.0
End1.3
blue by 3.3
5672
#15
21.41.2
18.319.5
Auto4.0
Teleop12.5
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsEarned