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Red69
18848.1
201312.1
762316.9
Blue100
747532.0
91920.8
124164.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions781355010015020069100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+47
Endgame+35
Fouls+31
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +54
8Coral scored#17
27Coral points61
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
0Processor points12
8Net points16
8Algae points28
35Total teleop89
Reef
4L4#7
2L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#24
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
4Foul points0
69Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
#19
48.10.8
46.946.1
Auto14.2
Teleop29.3
End4.6
blue by 16.2
64.31.2
64.663.4
Auto17.3
Teleop44.9
End2.2
Second
7623
#18
16.90.8
17.816.9
Auto3.9
Teleop10.4
End2.7
blue by 15.0
7475
#27
32.01.2
31.730.4
Auto2.5
Teleop26.4
End3.0
Third
2013
#31
12.10.8
12.912.1
Auto2.2
Teleop7.8
End2.1
blue by 8.7
919
#12
20.81.2
22.321.1
Auto3.9
Teleop14.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed32%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
21%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed