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Red242
1016721.5
2056112.3
220080.7
Blue60
697517.0
91920.8
760319.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24943010015020030035040024260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+42Auto
+172Teleop
+182Endgame
+182Fouls
AutonomousRed +42
9Leave9
9Coral scored#1
45Coral points3
54Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +130
32Coral scored#9
116Coral points32
4Processor algae#1
8Net algae#1
24Processor points6
32Net points4
56Algae points10
172Total teleop42
Reef
18L4#3
11L3#3
7L2#2
5L1 · trough#2
53Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +182
2Foul points2
242Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.30.6
110.2110.8
Auto26.8
Teleop78.6
End6.8
red by 91.4
919
#12
20.80.1
21.120.9
Auto3.9
Teleop14.5
End2.4
Second
80.70.6
78.679.2
Auto21.5
Teleop56.3
End2.9
red by 61.5
7603
#17
19.20.1
19.519.3
Auto4.7
Teleop13.7
End0.9
Third
21.50.6
19.420.0
Auto4.7
Teleop15.9
End0.9
red by 4.5
6975
#29
17.00.1
17.217.1
Auto3.8
Teleop11.4
End1.7