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Red180
133427.9
132547.7
540663.9
Blue154
316149.4
18848.1
956218.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14811880100140160180200220180154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+12Teleop
0Endgame0
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
8Coral scored#8
41Coral points38
47Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +9
20Coral scored#14
73Coral points52
2Processor algae#4
2Net algae#2
12Processor points24
8Net points8
20Algae points32
93Total teleop84
Reef
11L4#8
6L3#9
7L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +26
26Foul points0
180Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.90.4
62.963.2
Auto13.1
Teleop41.1
End9.7
red by 14.5
49.40.9
48.549.4
Auto12.2
Teleop30.8
End6.4
Second
47.70.4
46.747.0
Auto12.6
Teleop32.0
End3.2
blue by 0.4
188
#19
48.10.9
47.248.1
Auto14.2
Teleop29.3
End4.6
Third
1334
#20
27.90.4
26.927.3
Auto5.9
Teleop20.6
End1.4
red by 9.6
9562
#26
18.30.9
17.418.3
Auto5.7
Teleop10.4
End2.3