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Red140
1055441.0
567221.4
128538.9
Blue125
765930.9
747532.0
611033.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105996080120140160140125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+23Teleop
+23Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave0
2Coral scored#2
11Coral points12
20Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +15
18Coral scored#15
64Coral points53
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
18Processor points18
20Net points16
38Algae points34
102Total teleop87
Reef
10L4#9
4L3#4
2L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +15
2Foul points10
140Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.00.9
39.540.4
Auto7.5
Teleop31.8
End1.7
red by 7.4
6110
#21
33.60.4
33.233.6
Auto5.8
Teleop25.6
End2.3
Second
38.90.9
37.338.3
Auto7.9
Teleop29.2
End1.7
red by 6.9
7475
#27
32.00.4
31.532.0
Auto2.5
Teleop26.4
End3.0
Third
5672
#15
21.40.9
19.820.8
Auto4.0
Teleop12.5
End4.9
blue by 9.5
7659
#10
30.90.4
30.530.9
Auto4.2
Teleop19.0
End7.7