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Red170
111475.2
124164.3
686532.1
Blue161
133427.9
132547.7
540663.9
82%Model gave it18%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18213950100150200250170161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+9Teleop
+11Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave3
10Coral scored#8
51Coral points41
54Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +1
22Coral scored#16
78Coral points59
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
6Processor points18
16Net points24
22Algae points42
100Total teleop101
Reef
12L4#8
9L3#8
8L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
37Game pieces#33
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points2
170Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.20.0
74.674.6
Auto21.3
Teleop50.2
End3.7
red by 11.3
63.90.5
62.362.9
Auto13.1
Teleop41.1
End9.7
Second
64.30.0
63.863.8
Auto17.3
Teleop44.9
End2.2
red by 16.7
47.70.5
46.146.7
Auto12.6
Teleop32.0
End3.2
Third
6865
#23
32.10.0
31.531.5
Auto6.0
Teleop23.0
End3.1
red by 4.2
1334
#20
27.90.5
26.326.9
Auto5.9
Teleop20.6
End1.4