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Red152
133427.9
132547.7
540663.9
Blue133
1055441.0
567221.4
128538.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1529950200250152133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+27Teleop
+25Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
3Leave9
7Coral scored#2
37Coral points11
40Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +7
21Coral scored#20
74Coral points73
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
98Total teleop91
Reef
13L4#5
7L3#7
5L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points6
152Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.90.3
63.263.6
Auto13.1
Teleop41.1
End9.7
red by 22.9
41.00.6
40.441.0
Auto7.5
Teleop31.8
End1.7
Second
47.70.3
47.047.4
Auto12.6
Teleop32.0
End3.2
red by 8.8
38.90.6
38.338.9
Auto7.9
Teleop29.2
End1.7
Third
1334
#20
27.90.3
27.327.6
Auto5.9
Teleop20.6
End1.4
red by 6.5
5672
#15
21.40.6
20.821.4
Auto4.0
Teleop12.5
End4.9