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Red187
111475.2
124164.3
686532.1
Blue104
765930.9
747532.0
611033.6
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1908550100150250187104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+36Auto
+91Teleop
+83Endgame
+83Fouls
AutonomousRed +36
9Leave0
8Coral scored#2
39Coral points12
48Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +55
25Coral scored#17
89Coral points60
4Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
24Processor points6
20Net points12
44Algae points18
133Total teleop78
Reef
14L4#7
8L3#5
6L2#5
5L1 · trough#2
42Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +83
0Foul points0
187Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.20.4
74.274.6
Auto21.3
Teleop50.2
End3.7
red by 41.6
6110
#21
33.60.3
32.132.4
Auto5.8
Teleop25.6
End2.3
Second
64.30.4
63.463.8
Auto17.3
Teleop44.9
End2.2
red by 32.4
7475
#27
32.00.3
30.430.7
Auto2.5
Teleop26.4
End3.0
Third
6865
#23
32.10.4
31.131.5
Auto6.0
Teleop23.0
End3.1
red by 1.2
7659
#10
30.90.3
29.429.6
Auto4.2
Teleop19.0
End7.7