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Red189
133427.9
132547.7
540663.9
Blue127
430837.4
697838.0
238630.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14510550200250189127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+58Teleop
+66Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
9Leave6
6Coral scored#5
31Coral points25
40Total auto31
TeleoperatedRed +49
24Coral scored#17
87Coral points62
5Processor algae#1
5Net algae#5
30Processor points6
20Net points20
50Algae points26
137Total teleop88
Reef
12L4#5
11L3#8
3L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#28
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +62
0Foul points4
189Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.91.3
61.062.3
Auto13.1
Teleop41.1
End9.7
red by 25.8
6978
#13
38.00.4
37.137.5
Auto3.4
Teleop33.4
End1.3
Second
47.71.3
44.846.1
Auto12.6
Teleop32.0
End3.2
red by 10.2
37.40.4
36.536.9
Auto8.5
Teleop26.8
End2.1
Third
1334
#20
27.91.3
25.026.3
Auto5.9
Teleop20.6
End1.4
blue by 2.9
2386
#22
30.80.4
29.830.3
Auto9.2
Teleop19.7
End1.9