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Red177
494667.2
1001515.6
540960.7
Blue128
415247.3
958016.9
447653.6
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15211880100140160180200220240177128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+43Teleop
+43Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave6
9Coral scored#5
44Coral points24
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +29
23Coral scored#13
81Coral points46
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#5
12Processor points18
20Net points20
32Algae points38
113Total teleop84
Reef
15L4#7
9L3#5
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
39Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +49
6Foul points0
177Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.20.7
66.567.2
Auto16.1
Teleop43.1
End8.0
red by 13.6
53.60.2
53.453.6
Auto18.7
Teleop33.2
End1.7
Second
60.70.7
60.060.7
Auto12.4
Teleop44.8
End3.5
red by 13.4
47.30.2
47.147.3
Auto11.1
Teleop30.4
End5.8
Third
15.60.7
15.015.6
Auto7.0
Teleop6.3
End2.3
blue by 1.3
9580
#16
16.90.2
16.716.9
Auto2.6
Teleop11.9
End2.4