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Red183
494667.2
1001515.6
540960.7
Blue123
415247.3
958016.9
447653.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14911880100140160180200220183123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+42Teleop
+54Endgame
+60Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
7Coral scored#8
35Coral points38
44Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +42
22Coral scored#16
79Coral points59
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
12Processor points6
24Net points8
36Algae points14
115Total teleop73
Reef
7L4#6
10L3#6
6L2#7
6L1 · trough#5
37Game pieces#27
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +60
8Foul points2
183Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.20.7
65.866.5
Auto16.1
Teleop43.1
End8.0
red by 13.6
53.60.0
53.453.4
Auto18.7
Teleop33.2
End1.7
Second
60.70.7
59.360.0
Auto12.4
Teleop44.8
End3.5
red by 13.4
47.30.0
47.147.1
Auto11.1
Teleop30.4
End5.8
Third
15.60.7
14.215.0
Auto7.0
Teleop6.3
End2.3
blue by 1.3
9580
#16
16.90.0
16.616.7
Auto2.6
Teleop11.9
End2.4