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Red120
415247.3
958016.9
447653.6
Blue98
909837.8
588512.8
124143.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125935015020012098

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+18Teleop
+16Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points21
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +25
16Coral scored#12
57Coral points42
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
77Total teleop52
Reef
6L4#6
7L3#5
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +22
6Foul points0
120Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.60.1
53.553.4
Auto18.7
Teleop33.2
End1.7
red by 10.6
43.10.1
43.043.1
Auto9.5
Teleop30.6
End3.0
Second
47.30.1
47.147.1
Auto11.1
Teleop30.4
End5.8
red by 9.5
37.80.1
37.737.8
Auto7.5
Teleop21.7
End8.6
Third
9580
#16
16.90.1
16.716.6
Auto2.6
Teleop11.9
End2.4
red by 4.1
5885
#24
12.80.1
12.712.8
Auto3.7
Teleop7.4
End1.8