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Red103
909837.8
588512.8
124143.1
Blue78
956919.9
373925.1
748030.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9978020406012014016010378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+11Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave6
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points10
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +7
10Coral scored#13
37Coral points46
1Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
6Processor points6
24Net points8
30Algae points14
67Total teleop60
Reef
6L4#5
3L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#18
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
103Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.10.2
42.843.0
Auto9.5
Teleop30.6
End3.0
red by 12.7
30.40.1
30.430.4
Auto4.9
Teleop24.2
End1.3
Second
37.80.2
37.637.7
Auto7.5
Teleop21.7
End8.6
red by 12.7
3739
#17
25.10.1
25.025.1
Auto3.9
Teleop21.3
End-0.1
Third
5885
#24
12.80.2
12.612.7
Auto3.7
Teleop7.4
End1.8
blue by 7.1
9569
#19
19.90.1
19.819.9
Auto1.5
Teleop15.9
End2.5