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Red187
494667.2
1001515.6
540960.7
Blue138
415247.3
958016.9
447653.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1461176080100160180200220187138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+39Teleop
+41Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave0
8Coral scored#7
42Coral points37
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +25
19Coral scored#19
70Coral points69
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
24Processor points12
20Net points8
44Algae points20
114Total teleop89
Reef
11L4#11
9L3#9
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#30
BargeRed +2
14Cage & park12
14Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +49
8Foul points0
187Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.20.9
64.965.8
Auto16.1
Teleop43.1
End8.0
red by 13.6
53.60.5
53.053.5
Auto18.7
Teleop33.2
End1.7
Second
60.70.9
58.359.3
Auto12.4
Teleop44.8
End3.5
red by 13.4
47.30.5
46.647.1
Auto11.1
Teleop30.4
End5.8
Third
15.60.9
13.314.2
Auto7.0
Teleop6.3
End2.3
blue by 1.3
9580
#16
16.90.5
16.216.7
Auto2.6
Teleop11.9
End2.4