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Red70
468814.5
956919.9
447653.6
Blue73
130517.5
926314.9
588512.8
47%Model gave it53%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions798040601001207073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+29Teleop
+27Endgame
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave3
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points6
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +8
8Coral scored#6
28Coral points20
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
38Total teleop30
Reef
3L4#2
4L3#2
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points30
70Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.60.3
36.235.9
Auto18.7
Teleop33.2
End1.7
red by 36.1
1305
#22
17.53.1
26.423.3
Auto2.5
Teleop13.5
End1.5
Second
9569
#19
19.90.3
18.117.8
Auto1.5
Teleop15.9
End2.5
red by 5.0
9263
#11
14.93.1
17.814.7
Auto3.1
Teleop7.9
End4.0
Third
4688
#29
14.50.3
18.418.1
Auto3.7
Teleop10.6
End0.2
red by 1.7
5885
#24
12.83.1
26.723.6
Auto3.7
Teleop7.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsEarned