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Red35
878911.2
611021.9
957516.7
Blue65
958016.9
124143.1
49519.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5883020401001201403565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+34
Endgame+34
Fouls+30
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +37
3Coral scored#11
10Coral points41
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
18Total teleop55
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
4Foul points0
35Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6110
#15
21.92.5
15.312.8
Auto5.5
Teleop15.6
End0.8
blue by 21.1
43.10.6
33.633.0
Auto9.5
Teleop30.6
End3.0
Second
9575
#12
16.72.5
23.420.9
Auto4.6
Teleop11.5
End0.6
blue by 0.2
9580
#16
16.90.6
16.415.8
Auto2.6
Teleop11.9
End2.4
Third
8789
#23
11.22.5
15.112.6
Auto3.8
Teleop5.1
End2.3
red by 1.3
4951
#26
9.80.6
20.519.9
Auto0.7
Teleop8.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed