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Red135
373925.1
494667.2
909837.8
Blue47
132518.8
238619.2
128525.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1039740608012014013547

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+70Teleop
+84Endgame
+88Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +63
16Coral scored#7
57Coral points26
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#1
18Processor points6
24Net points4
42Algae points10
99Total teleop36
Reef
8L4#3
3L3#2
6L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#11
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +88
6Foul points2
135Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.24.4
38.142.5
Auto16.1
Teleop43.1
End8.0
red by 41.5
25.74.8
23.718.9
Auto4.5
Teleop20.2
End1.0
Second
37.84.4
28.733.2
Auto7.5
Teleop21.7
End8.6
red by 18.6
2386
#21
19.24.8
27.622.8
Auto3.0
Teleop14.0
End2.2
Third
3739
#17
25.14.4
22.226.6
Auto3.9
Teleop21.3
End-0.1
red by 6.3
1325
#27
18.84.8
33.929.1
Auto3.4
Teleop13.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsMissed