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Red32
639713.4
132518.8
957516.7
Blue68
748030.4
49519.8
238619.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68772040601003268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+32
Endgame+34
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +22
2Coral scored#8
6Coral points28
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
10Total teleop32
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#2
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
12Foul points14
32Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1325
#27
18.84.6
29.124.6
Auto3.4
Teleop13.3
End2.1
blue by 11.6
30.41.5
24.723.2
Auto4.9
Teleop24.2
End1.3
Second
9575
#12
16.74.6
20.916.3
Auto4.6
Teleop11.5
End0.6
blue by 2.5
2386
#21
19.21.5
22.821.3
Auto3.0
Teleop14.0
End2.2
Third
6397
#28
13.44.6
11.16.6
Auto2.5
Teleop9.5
End1.5
red by 3.6
4951
#26
9.81.5
19.918.4
Auto0.7
Teleop8.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed