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Red37
1001515.6
128525.7
790222.2
Blue211
122922.5
124143.1
494667.2
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6010705015020037211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+114
Endgame+126
Fouls+174
AutonomousBlue +28
3Leave0
1Coral scored#7
6Coral points37
9Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +86
4Coral scored#23
14Coral points82
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
24Total teleop110
Reef
2L4#15
1L3#5
1L2#7
1L1 · trough#3
7Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +174
0Foul points48
37Total score211

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.73.8
18.915.2
Auto4.5
Teleop20.2
End1.0
blue by 41.5
67.26.7
44.651.3
Auto16.1
Teleop43.1
End8.0
Second
7902
#20
22.23.8
23.019.2
Auto2.7
Teleop14.8
End4.8
blue by 20.8
43.16.7
33.039.7
Auto9.5
Teleop30.6
End3.0
Third
15.63.8
16.913.1
Auto7.0
Teleop6.3
End2.3
blue by 6.9
22.56.7
14.621.3
Auto4.4
Teleop16.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsEarned