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Red161
611021.9
447653.6
415247.3
Blue25
878911.2
834916.1
130517.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9355020408010012014016016125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+38Auto
+116Teleop
+126Endgame
+136Fouls
AutonomousRed +38
3Leave0
8Coral scored#1
41Coral points6
44Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +78
17Coral scored#3
61Coral points11
2Processor algae#0
5Net algae#1
12Processor points0
20Net points4
32Algae points4
93Total teleop15
Reef
12L4#2
6L3#1
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
32Game pieces#5
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +136
10Foul points0
161Total score25

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.67.1
35.943.0
Auto18.7
Teleop33.2
End1.7
red by 36.1
1305
#22
17.53.9
23.319.4
Auto2.5
Teleop13.5
End1.5
Second
47.37.1
32.639.7
Auto11.1
Teleop30.4
End5.8
red by 31.2
8349
#10
16.13.9
22.418.5
Auto3.3
Teleop10.1
End2.8
Third
6110
#15
21.97.1
12.819.8
Auto5.5
Teleop15.6
End0.8
red by 10.8
8789
#23
11.23.9
8.95.1
Auto3.8
Teleop5.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed