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Red59
720023.4
373925.1
958016.9
Blue13
497625.4
588512.8
49519.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67792040601005913

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+22Teleop
+22Endgame
+46Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +22
5Coral scored#0
18Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
22Total teleop0
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#0
2L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
7Game pieces#1
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
24Foul points0
59Total score13

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3739
#17
25.13.1
22.919.8
Auto3.9
Teleop21.3
End-0.1
blue by 0.3
4976
#18
25.46.6
30.123.5
Auto6.6
Teleop17.5
End1.3
Second
7200
#14
23.43.1
24.421.3
Auto2.6
Teleop19.7
End1.1
red by 10.6
5885
#24
12.86.6
23.617.0
Auto3.7
Teleop7.4
End1.8
Third
9580
#16
16.93.1
15.812.7
Auto2.6
Teleop11.9
End2.4
red by 7.1
4951
#26
9.86.6
18.411.8
Auto0.7
Teleop8.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsMissed