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Red65
373925.1
790222.2
49519.8
Blue72
748030.4
956919.9
834916.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions556002040801006572

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+1Teleop
Endgame+1
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +8
8Coral scored#9
28Coral points32
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
12Processor points0
8Net points8
20Algae points8
48Total teleop40
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
6Foul points12
65Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3739
#17
25.10.6
19.820.4
Auto3.9
Teleop21.3
End-0.1
blue by 5.3
30.40.0
21.721.7
Auto4.9
Teleop24.2
End1.3
Second
7902
#20
22.20.6
19.219.8
Auto2.7
Teleop14.8
End4.8
red by 2.3
9569
#19
19.90.0
14.214.2
Auto1.5
Teleop15.9
End2.5
Third
4951
#26
9.80.6
11.812.4
Auto0.7
Teleop8.2
End0.9
blue by 6.3
8349
#10
16.10.0
18.518.5
Auto3.3
Teleop10.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed