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Red55
957516.7
720023.4
122922.5
Blue102
447653.6
878911.2
128525.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions667105010015020055102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+47
Endgame+47
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave0
0Coral scored#6
0Coral points30
6Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +23
9Coral scored#12
31Coral points44
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
39Total teleop62
Reef
2L4#7
3L3#5
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
6Foul points6
55Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7200
#14
23.41.7
21.319.6
Auto2.6
Teleop19.7
End1.1
blue by 30.2
53.63.0
43.046.0
Auto18.7
Teleop33.2
End1.7
Second
22.51.7
21.319.6
Auto4.4
Teleop16.3
End1.9
blue by 3.1
25.73.0
15.218.2
Auto4.5
Teleop20.2
End1.0
Third
9575
#12
16.71.7
16.314.6
Auto4.6
Teleop11.5
End0.6
red by 5.6
8789
#23
11.23.0
5.18.0
Auto3.8
Teleop5.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed29%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed