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Red75
124143.1
468814.5
926314.9
Blue98
540960.7
639713.4
698710.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8162020401001201401607598

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+23
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave9
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points11
16Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +19
11Coral scored#17
39Coral points62
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
57Total teleop76
Reef
5L4#8
3L3#3
3L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
75Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.10.3
39.740.0
Auto9.5
Teleop30.6
End3.0
blue by 17.6
60.74.2
39.343.5
Auto12.4
Teleop44.8
End3.5
Second
9263
#11
14.90.3
14.715.0
Auto3.1
Teleop7.9
End4.0
red by 1.5
6397
#28
13.44.2
6.610.8
Auto2.5
Teleop9.5
End1.5
Third
4688
#29
14.50.3
18.118.4
Auto3.7
Teleop10.6
End0.2
red by 4.0
6987
#25
10.54.2
14.318.5
Auto2.7
Teleop6.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed