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Red134
540960.7
958016.9
494667.2
Blue10
957516.7
926314.9
1001515.6
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1273305010015020013410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+108Teleop
+118Endgame
+124Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave0
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points6
30Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +84
19Coral scored#0
70Coral points0
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
84Total teleop0
Reef
7L4#1
9L3#0
5L2#0
3L1 · trough#0
27Game pieces#1
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +124
6Foul points0
134Total score10

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.22.3
51.353.6
Auto16.1
Teleop43.1
End8.0
red by 50.5
9575
#12
16.73.5
14.611.2
Auto4.6
Teleop11.5
End0.6
Second
60.72.3
43.545.8
Auto12.4
Teleop44.8
End3.5
red by 45.0
15.63.5
11.68.1
Auto7.0
Teleop6.3
End2.3
Third
9580
#16
16.92.3
12.714.9
Auto2.6
Teleop11.9
End2.4
red by 2.0
9263
#11
14.93.5
15.011.5
Auto3.1
Teleop7.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed