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Red95
130517.5
748030.4
124143.1
Blue99
447653.6
720023.4
238619.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89916070801001101209599

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+6
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave9
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points14
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +4
13Coral scored#15
48Coral points54
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
72Total teleop68
Reef
5L4#7
3L3#7
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
6Foul points6
95Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.10.6
39.540.2
Auto9.5
Teleop30.6
End3.0
blue by 10.6
53.60.6
46.046.6
Auto18.7
Teleop33.2
End1.7
Second
30.40.6
21.722.3
Auto4.9
Teleop24.2
End1.3
red by 7.0
7200
#14
23.40.6
19.620.2
Auto2.6
Teleop19.7
End1.1
Third
1305
#22
17.50.6
19.420.1
Auto2.5
Teleop13.5
End1.5
blue by 1.6
2386
#21
19.20.6
18.819.4
Auto3.0
Teleop14.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed