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Red85
468814.5
122922.5
373925.1
Blue66
790222.2
588512.8
611021.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions675602040801001208566

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+17Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave3
4Coral scored#2
19Coral points10
19Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +11
12Coral scored#9
42Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
56Total teleop45
Reef
7L4#3
5L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
6Foul points6
85Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3739
#17
25.11.9
20.422.3
Auto3.9
Teleop21.3
End-0.1
red by 2.9
7902
#20
22.20.4
19.820.2
Auto2.7
Teleop14.8
End4.8
Second
22.51.9
19.621.5
Auto4.4
Teleop16.3
End1.9
red by 0.6
6110
#15
21.90.4
20.821.2
Auto5.5
Teleop15.6
End0.8
Third
4688
#29
14.51.9
19.421.3
Auto3.7
Teleop10.6
End0.2
red by 1.7
5885
#24
12.80.4
13.013.3
Auto3.7
Teleop7.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed