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Red82
588512.8
540960.7
956919.9
Blue42
611021.9
128525.7
926314.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95700204060801201401608242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+40Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave6
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +26
11Coral scored#7
39Coral points25
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
12Processor points0
8Net points8
20Algae points8
59Total teleop33
Reef
5L4#3
5L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
0Cage & park0
0Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
82Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.70.8
33.732.9
Auto12.4
Teleop44.8
End3.5
red by 35.0
25.73.4
27.123.7
Auto4.5
Teleop20.2
End1.0
Second
9569
#19
19.90.8
20.119.3
Auto1.5
Teleop15.9
End2.5
blue by 2.1
6110
#15
21.93.4
20.016.7
Auto5.5
Teleop15.6
End0.8
Third
5885
#24
12.80.8
27.126.3
Auto3.7
Teleop7.4
End1.8
blue by 2.1
9263
#11
14.93.4
16.513.1
Auto3.1
Teleop7.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed