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Red50
909837.8
468814.5
958016.9
Blue100
834916.1
957516.7
494667.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89905060708010050100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+44
Endgame+44
Fouls+50
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points13
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +47
6Coral scored#16
20Coral points59
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
30Total teleop77
Reef
2L4#7
2L3#7
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points6
50Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.83.7
32.528.7
Auto7.5
Teleop21.7
End8.6
blue by 29.4
67.21.0
37.038.1
Auto16.1
Teleop43.1
End8.0
Second
9580
#16
16.93.7
21.417.6
Auto2.6
Teleop11.9
End2.4
red by 0.2
9575
#12
16.71.0
22.323.4
Auto4.6
Teleop11.5
End0.6
Third
4688
#29
14.53.7
24.520.7
Auto3.7
Teleop10.6
End0.2
blue by 1.6
8349
#10
16.11.0
19.220.2
Auto3.3
Teleop10.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed