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Red49
639713.4
588512.8
373925.1
Blue98
415247.3
1001515.6
720023.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48720204060801001204998

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+39
Endgame+53
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +24
0Leave6
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points24
6Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +15
8Coral scored#11
27Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
37Total teleop52
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#5
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
4Foul points0
49Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3739
#17
25.10.4
22.321.9
Auto3.9
Teleop21.3
End-0.1
blue by 22.2
47.33.6
38.542.1
Auto11.1
Teleop30.4
End5.8
Second
6397
#28
13.40.4
12.912.5
Auto2.5
Teleop9.5
End1.5
blue by 10.0
7200
#14
23.43.6
20.223.8
Auto2.6
Teleop19.7
End1.1
Third
5885
#24
12.80.4
13.313.0
Auto3.7
Teleop7.4
End1.8
blue by 2.8
15.63.6
6.910.5
Auto7.0
Teleop6.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsEarned