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Red91
49519.8
494667.2
128525.7
Blue53
878911.2
926314.9
748030.4
99%Model gave it1%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107390501509153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+34Teleop
+44Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points7
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +27
12Coral scored#5
44Coral points19
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
54Total teleop27
Reef
7L4#2
4L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#8
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points6
91Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.20.2
55.355.5
Auto16.1
Teleop43.1
End8.0
red by 36.8
30.40.4
22.322.7
Auto4.9
Teleop24.2
End1.3
Second
25.70.2
20.720.9
Auto4.5
Teleop20.2
End1.0
red by 10.7
9263
#11
14.90.4
13.313.7
Auto3.1
Teleop7.9
End4.0
Third
4951
#26
9.80.2
13.613.7
Auto0.7
Teleop8.2
End0.9
blue by 1.3
8789
#23
11.20.4
8.08.4
Auto3.8
Teleop5.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed