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Red98
957516.7
124143.1
909837.8
Blue92
956919.9
540960.7
790222.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94842040601201401609892

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+6Teleop
+4Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
0Leave6
6Coral scored#0
30Coral points0
30Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +18
12Coral scored#13
44Coral points48
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
0Processor points6
8Net points16
8Algae points22
52Total teleop70
Reef
8L4#4
3L3#4
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
2Foul points0
98Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.11.2
40.241.3
Auto9.5
Teleop30.6
End3.0
blue by 17.6
60.71.4
45.346.6
Auto12.4
Teleop44.8
End3.5
Second
37.81.2
34.635.8
Auto7.5
Teleop21.7
End8.6
red by 15.6
7902
#20
22.21.3
19.120.3
Auto2.7
Teleop14.8
End4.8
Third
9575
#12
16.71.2
10.611.8
Auto4.6
Teleop11.5
End0.6
blue by 3.2
9569
#19
19.91.4
15.316.7
Auto1.5
Teleop15.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsEarned