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Red40
49519.8
834916.1
720023.4
Blue117
494667.2
130517.5
1001515.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions549620408012014040117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+67
Endgame+77
Fouls+77
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave9
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points14
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +50
5Coral scored#16
18Coral points58
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#1
6Processor points12
0Net points4
6Algae points16
24Total teleop74
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#6
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
7Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +77
6Foul points6
40Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7200
#14
23.42.9
23.820.9
Auto2.6
Teleop19.7
End1.1
blue by 43.8
67.22.2
55.557.7
Auto16.1
Teleop43.1
End8.0
Second
8349
#10
16.12.9
18.815.9
Auto3.3
Teleop10.1
End2.8
blue by 1.4
1305
#22
17.52.2
18.420.6
Auto2.5
Teleop13.5
End1.5
Third
4951
#26
9.82.9
13.710.8
Auto0.7
Teleop8.2
End0.9
blue by 5.8
15.62.2
10.512.7
Auto7.0
Teleop6.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsEarned