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Red48
122922.5
468814.5
878911.2
Blue39
132518.8
958016.9
926314.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5446204060804839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+17Teleop
+3Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +20
7Coral scored#4
24Coral points14
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
34Total teleop14
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#1
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
10Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
6Foul points0
48Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.51.5
23.121.6
Auto4.4
Teleop16.3
End1.9
red by 3.7
1325
#27
18.81.4
18.316.9
Auto3.4
Teleop13.3
End2.1
Second
4688
#29
14.51.5
19.518.0
Auto3.7
Teleop10.6
End0.2
blue by 2.4
9580
#16
16.91.4
15.313.8
Auto2.6
Teleop11.9
End2.4
Third
8789
#23
11.21.5
8.46.9
Auto3.8
Teleop5.1
End2.3
blue by 3.8
9263
#11
14.91.4
13.712.2
Auto3.1
Teleop7.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsEarned