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Red58
497625.4
698710.5
238619.2
Blue117
447653.6
748030.4
957516.7
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5792020408010012014058117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+55
Endgame+53
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +25
0Leave0
2Coral scored#7
9Coral points34
9Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +30
8Coral scored#14
27Coral points51
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
45Total teleop75
Reef
5L4#7
2L3#8
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#26
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
0Foul points6
58Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4976
#18
25.40.1
23.023.1
Auto6.6
Teleop17.5
End1.3
blue by 28.3
53.63.0
47.750.7
Auto18.7
Teleop33.2
End1.7
Second
2386
#21
19.20.1
18.318.4
Auto3.0
Teleop14.0
End2.2
blue by 11.3
30.43.0
22.725.7
Auto4.9
Teleop24.2
End1.3
Third
6987
#25
10.50.1
15.515.7
Auto2.7
Teleop6.6
End1.2
blue by 6.2
9575
#12
16.73.0
11.814.8
Auto4.6
Teleop11.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsMissed86%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsEarned