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Red133
373925.1
540960.7
128525.7
Blue88
611021.9
124143.1
639713.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions977920406012014016013388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+45Teleop
+45Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points20
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +52
27Coral scored#12
97Coral points43
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
115Total teleop63
Reef
15L4#6
5L3#4
7L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points0
133Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.74.5
46.651.1
Auto12.4
Teleop44.8
End3.5
red by 17.6
43.11.2
41.342.5
Auto9.5
Teleop30.6
End3.0
Second
25.74.5
20.925.4
Auto4.5
Teleop20.2
End1.0
red by 3.7
6110
#15
21.91.2
22.824.0
Auto5.5
Teleop15.6
End0.8
Third
3739
#17
25.14.5
21.926.4
Auto3.9
Teleop21.3
End-0.1
red by 11.6
6397
#28
13.41.2
12.513.7
Auto2.5
Teleop9.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed