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Red121
748030.4
49519.8
494667.2
Blue63
834916.1
468814.5
497625.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10954010015012163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+42Teleop
+52Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +46
21Coral scored#8
74Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
92Total teleop46
Reef
9L4#4
8L3#3
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
6Foul points0
121Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.21.3
57.758.9
Auto16.1
Teleop43.1
End8.0
red by 41.8
4976
#18
25.40.3
23.122.8
Auto6.6
Teleop17.5
End1.3
Second
30.41.3
25.726.9
Auto4.9
Teleop24.2
End1.3
red by 14.3
8349
#10
16.10.3
15.915.6
Auto3.3
Teleop10.1
End2.8
Third
4951
#26
9.81.3
10.812.0
Auto0.7
Teleop8.2
End0.9
blue by 4.7
4688
#29
14.50.3
18.017.7
Auto3.7
Teleop10.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsMissed63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed